AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga Feb 07, 2026

FSV Mainz 05

Home
VS
14:30

FC Augsburg

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
FSV Mainz 05 Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
FC Augsburg Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.26 - 0.28
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.3
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FSV Mainz 05 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
FC Augsburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 1-0 (18%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
FSV Mainz 05 Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 FSV Mainz… vs RB Leipzig 1-2
Jan 24 FSV Mainz… vs VfL Wolfs… 3-1
Jan 17 FSV Mainz… vs FC Koln 2-1
Jan 13 FSV Mainz… vs FC Heiden… 2-1
Jan 10 FSV Mainz… vs Union Ber… 2-2
Dec 21 FSV Mainz… vs FC St. Pa… 0-0
Dec 14 FSV Mainz… vs Bayern Mu… 2-2
Dec 11 FSV Mainz… vs Lech Pozn… 1-1
Dec 05 FSV Mainz… vs Borussia … 0-1
Nov 30 FSV Mainz… vs SC Freibu… 4-0
FC Augsburg Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 FC Augsbu… vs FC St. Pa… 2-1
Jan 24 FC Augsbu… vs Bayern Mu… 1-2
Jan 18 FC Augsbu… vs SC Freibu… 2-2
Jan 15 FC Augsbu… vs Union Ber… 1-1
Jan 11 FC Augsbu… vs Borussia … 4-0
Jan 06 FC Augsbu… vs FC Winter… 2-1
Dec 20 FC Augsbu… vs Werder Br… 0-0
Dec 13 FC Augsbu… vs Eintracht… 1-0
Dec 06 FC Augsbu… vs Bayer Lev… 2-0
Dec 02 FC Augsbu… vs RB Leipzig 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • FSV Mainz 05 in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 20, 2025 FC Augsburg 1 - 4 FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
Feb 08, 2025 FSV Mainz 05 0 - 0 FC Augsburg Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2024 FC Augsburg 2 - 3 FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
Feb 17, 2024 FSV Mainz 05 1 - 0 FC Augsburg Bundesliga
Sep 23, 2023 FC Augsburg 2 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
Feb 11, 2023 FSV Mainz 05 3 - 1 FC Augsburg Bundesliga
Aug 20, 2022 FC Augsburg 1 - 2 FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
Apr 06, 2022 FC Augsburg 2 - 1 FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
Oct 22, 2021 FSV Mainz 05 4 - 1 FC Augsburg Bundesliga
Feb 28, 2021 FSV Mainz 05 0 - 1 FC Augsburg Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FSV Mainz 05 Power 43
FC Augsburg Power 28
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

16

FSV Mainz 05 Position

-5

Position Gap

11

FC Augsburg Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.