AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga Feb 07, 2026

VfL Wolfsburg

Home
VS
14:30

Borussia Dortmund

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
VfL Wolfsburg Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Borussia Dortmund Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 2.41 - 1.77
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 1.8
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
VfL Wolfsburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Borussia Dortmund Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%) 3-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Under 2.5 Goals 26%
VfL Wolfsburg Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 VfL Wolfs… vs FC Koln 1-0
Jan 24 VfL Wolfs… vs FSV Mainz… 3-1
Jan 17 VfL Wolfs… vs FC Heiden… 1-1
Jan 14 VfL Wolfs… vs FC St. Pa… 2-1
Jan 11 VfL Wolfs… vs Bayern Mu… 8-1
Dec 20 VfL Wolfs… vs SC Freibu… 3-4
Dec 13 VfL Wolfs… vs Borussia … 1-3
Dec 06 VfL Wolfs… vs Union Ber… 3-1
Nov 30 VfL Wolfs… vs Eintracht… 1-1
Nov 22 VfL Wolfs… vs Bayer Lev… 1-3
Borussia Dortmund Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Borussia … vs FC Heiden… 3-2
Jan 28 Borussia … vs Inter 0-0
Jan 24 Borussia … vs Union Ber… 0-3
Jan 20 Borussia … vs Tottenham 2-0
Jan 17 Borussia … vs FC St. Pa… 3-2
Jan 13 Borussia … vs Werder Br… 3-0
Jan 09 Borussia … vs Eintracht… 3-3
Dec 19 Borussia … vs Borussia … 2-0
Dec 14 Borussia … vs SC Freibu… 1-1
Dec 10 Borussia … vs Bodø/Glimt 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Borussia Dortmund in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • VfL Wolfsburg struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 21, 2025 Borussia Dortmund 1 - 0 VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga
May 03, 2025 Borussia Dortmund 4 - 0 VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga
Dec 22, 2024 VfL Wolfsburg 1 - 3 Borussia Dortmund Pro League
Dec 22, 2024 VfL Wolfsburg 1 - 3 Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
Oct 29, 2024 VfL Wolfsburg 1 - 0 Borussia Dortmund DFB Pokal
Feb 17, 2024 VfL Wolfsburg 1 - 1 Borussia Dortmund Pro League
Feb 17, 2024 VfL Wolfsburg 1 - 1 Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
Sep 23, 2023 Borussia Dortmund 1 - 0 VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga
May 07, 2023 Borussia Dortmund 6 - 0 VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga
Nov 08, 2022 VfL Wolfsburg 2 - 0 Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
VfL Wolfsburg Power 35
Borussia Dortmund Power 47
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

VfL Wolfsburg Position

-12

Position Gap

2

Borussia Dortmund Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.