AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Segunda División Feb 07, 2026

Las Palmas

Home
VS
15:15

Burgos

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Las Palmas Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Burgos Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 56%
Market 50%
Combined: 61% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 3.26 - 0.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Las Palmas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Burgos Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
69%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Las Palmas Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Las Palmas vs Real Soci… 1-1
Jan 24 Las Palmas vs Cordoba 1-2
Jan 18 Las Palmas vs Racing Sa… 4-1
Jan 10 Las Palmas vs Deportivo… 1-1
Jan 04 Las Palmas vs Zaragoza 1-2
Dec 20 Las Palmas vs Cultural … 4-0
Dec 14 Las Palmas vs AD Ceuta … 1-1
Dec 08 Las Palmas vs Mirandes 0-0
Nov 30 Las Palmas vs Castellón 1-0
Nov 21 Las Palmas vs Albacete 2-1
Burgos Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Burgos vs Leganes 2-1
Jan 23 Burgos vs Malaga 3-0
Jan 18 Burgos vs Huesca 1-0
Jan 15 Burgos vs Valencia 0-2
Jan 10 Burgos vs Eibar 1-0
Jan 03 Burgos vs Cordoba 2-0
Dec 21 Burgos vs Zaragoza 1-1
Dec 18 Burgos vs Getafe 3-1
Dec 14 Burgos vs Almería 1-2
Dec 08 Burgos vs Albacete 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Burgos in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 07, 2025 Burgos 0 - 0 Las Palmas Segunda Divisi…
Feb 06, 2023 Burgos 0 - 0 Las Palmas Segunda Divisi…
Nov 01, 2022 Las Palmas 0 - 2 Burgos Segunda Divisi…
Feb 13, 2022 Las Palmas 0 - 2 Burgos Segunda Divisi…
Sep 20, 2021 Burgos 0 - 0 Las Palmas Segunda Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Las Palmas Power 39
Burgos Power 37
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Las Palmas Position

+3

Position Gap

8

Burgos Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.