AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eredivisie Feb 06, 2026

NAC Breda

Home
VS
19:00

Excelsior

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
NAC Breda Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Excelsior Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 72%
Standings 42%
Market 57%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
Asian Handicap: Home -1
xG: 1.75 - 0.95
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.9 Asian Handicap: Home -1
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
NAC Breda Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Excelsior Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
39%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (7%) 0-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
NAC Breda Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 NAC Breda vs FC Twente 2-2
Jan 24 NAC Breda vs PSV Eindh… 2-2
Jan 17 NAC Breda vs NEC Nijme… 3-4
Jan 10 NAC Breda vs Groningen 0-0
Dec 20 NAC Breda vs Telstar 0-1
Dec 14 NAC Breda vs Utrecht 1-1
Dec 07 NAC Breda vs Sparta Ro… 1-0
Nov 29 NAC Breda vs Excelsior 1-0
Nov 22 NAC Breda vs PSV Eindh… 0-1
Nov 08 NAC Breda vs FC Volend… 2-1
Excelsior Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Excelsior vs Ajax 2-2
Jan 24 Excelsior vs FC Twente 0-0
Jan 21 Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar 1-1
Jan 17 Excelsior vs Telstar 2-2
Jan 10 Excelsior vs PSV Eindh… 5-1
Dec 20 Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle 2-1
Dec 05 Excelsior vs Groningen 0-2
Nov 29 Excelsior vs NAC Breda 1-0
Nov 22 Excelsior vs Ajax 1-2
Nov 08 Excelsior vs Heracles 1-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 29, 2025 Excelsior 1 - 0 NAC Breda Eredivisie
Jul 20, 2024 NAC Breda 1 - 1 Excelsior Friendlies Clu…
Jun 02, 2024 Excelsior 4 - 1 NAC Breda Eredivisie
May 28, 2024 NAC Breda 6 - 2 Excelsior Eredivisie
Jul 22, 2023 NAC Breda 2 - 0 Excelsior Friendlies Clu…
May 06, 2022 Excelsior 2 - 2 NAC Breda Eerste Divisie
Oct 01, 2021 NAC Breda 4 - 1 Excelsior Eerste Divisie
Apr 23, 2021 NAC Breda 1 - 2 Excelsior Eerste Divisie
Jan 03, 2021 Excelsior 0 - 3 NAC Breda Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
NAC Breda Power 0
Excelsior Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

NAC Breda Position

-4

Position Gap

13

Excelsior Position
Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.