AI Match Insights

Premier League 2 Division One Feb 07, 2026

Manchester City U21

Home
VS
19:00

Leeds United U21

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Manchester City U21 Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Leeds United U21 Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 2.58 - 1.29
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 1.3 Position gap: 10 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Manchester City U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Leeds United U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Manchester City U21 Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Mancheste… vs Stoke Cit… 1-6
Jan 25 Mancheste… vs Everton U… 3-2
Jan 20 Mancheste… vs Monaco U21 1-3
Jan 14 Mancheste… vs RB Leipzi… 3-1
Jan 09 Mancheste… vs Burnley U… 8-1
Dec 16 Mancheste… vs Real Madr… 1-1
Dec 06 Mancheste… vs Sunderlan… 1-2
Nov 09 Mancheste… vs Brighton … 2-0
Oct 31 Mancheste… vs Leicester… 4-0
Oct 28 Mancheste… vs Rotherham… 4-2
Leeds United U21 Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Leeds Uni… vs Arsenal U… 0-4
Jan 25 Leeds Uni… vs Liverpool… 2-1
Jan 22 Leeds Uni… vs Anderlech… 0-3
Jan 16 Leeds Uni… vs Stoke Cit… 0-1
Jan 10 Leeds Uni… vs Reading F… 0-2
Dec 16 Leeds Uni… vs Borussia … 0-3
Nov 26 Leeds Uni… vs Gateshead 0-3
Nov 11 Leeds Uni… vs Accringto… 3-2
Nov 08 Leeds Uni… vs Nottingha… 1-2
Nov 02 Leeds Uni… vs Brighton … 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Manchester City U21 in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Leeds United U21 struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

PRO: Manchester City U21 to win (73% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 2-1 73% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Manchester City U21 Power 46
Leeds United U21 Power 33
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Manchester City U21 Position

+10

Position Gap

20

Leeds United U21 Position

Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.