AI Match Insights

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Premier League 2 Division One Feb 06, 2026

Aston Villa U21

Home
VS
19:00

Newcastle United U21

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Aston Villa U21 Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Newcastle United U21 Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 73%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.58 - 0.54
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.5 Position gap: 13 places
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aston Villa U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Newcastle United U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 3-0 (13%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Aston Villa U21 Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Aston Vil… vs Birmingha… 1-1
Jan 24 Aston Vil… vs Ipswich T… 5-4
Jan 16 Aston Vil… vs Derby Cou… 0-0
Nov 08 Aston Vil… vs Wolves U21 2-0
Oct 31 Aston Vil… vs Crystal P… 0-2
Oct 28 Aston Vil… vs Leyton Or… 1-0
Oct 24 Aston Vil… vs West Ham … 1-0
Oct 04 Aston Vil… vs Sunderlan… 3-3
Sep 30 Aston Vil… vs Peterboro… 4-2
Sep 26 Aston Vil… vs Nottingha… 2-3
Newcastle United U21 Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 16 Newcastle… vs Sunderlan… 1-1
Jan 13 Newcastle… vs Benfica 0-5
Jan 09 Newcastle… vs Middlesbr… 0-1
Dec 20 Newcastle… vs Dinamo Za… 0-3
Dec 16 Newcastle… vs FC Halifa… 0-0
Dec 02 Newcastle… vs Scunthorpe 2-0
Nov 21 Newcastle… vs Paris Sai… 0-2
Nov 18 Newcastle… vs Real Soci… 0-0
Nov 11 Newcastle… vs Harrogate 3-1
Nov 08 Newcastle… vs Burnley U… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Newcastle United U21 struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 05, 2024 Aston Villa U21 2 - 3 Newcastle United U21 Premier League…
Apr 29, 2024 Newcastle United U21 0 - 1 Aston Villa U21 Premier League…
Jan 09, 2023 Newcastle United U21 0 - 2 Aston Villa U21 Premier League…
Oct 14, 2022 Aston Villa U21 1 - 2 Newcastle United U21 Premier League…
Final Verdict

PRO: Aston Villa U21 to win (74% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 3-2 74% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aston Villa U21 Power 35
Newcastle United U21 Power 35
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Aston Villa U21 Position

+13

Position Gap

26

Newcastle United U21 Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.