AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First Division Feb 08, 2026

Apoel Nicosia

Home
VS
14:00

AEK Larnaca

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Apoel Nicosia Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
AEK Larnaca Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.58 - 0.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.2
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Apoel Nicosia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
AEK Larnaca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
81%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (17%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
Apoel Nicosia Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Apoel Nic… vs Pafos FC 2-0
Jan 31 Apoel Nic… vs Olympiako… 0-2
Jan 23 Apoel Nic… vs Omonia Ar… 1-1
Jan 18 Apoel Nic… vs Apollon L… 2-1
Jan 10 Apoel Nic… vs Akritas 2-1
Jan 07 Apoel Nic… vs APEA 1-0
Jan 03 Apoel Nic… vs Enosis 3-0
Dec 13 Apoel Nic… vs Digenis Y… 0-0
Dec 07 Apoel Nic… vs Aris 2-0
Nov 29 Apoel Nic… vs Anorthosis 1-1
AEK Larnaca Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 AEK Larna… vs Enosis 5-0
Jan 25 AEK Larna… vs Pafos FC 1-2
Jan 18 AEK Larna… vs Digenis Y… 2-1
Jan 14 AEK Larna… vs Omonia Ni… 2-1
Jan 10 AEK Larna… vs Aris 1-0
Jan 04 AEK Larna… vs Anorthosis 4-0
Dec 22 AEK Larna… vs AEL 0-1
Dec 15 AEK Larna… vs Omonia Ni… 1-1
Dec 11 AEK Larna… vs BK Häcken 1-1
Dec 06 AEK Larna… vs Ethnikos … 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • AEK Larnaca in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 27, 2025 AEK Larnaca 1 - 1 Apoel Nicosia First Division
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Apoel Nicosia Power 0
AEK Larnaca Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Apoel Nicosia Position

-4

Position Gap

2

AEK Larnaca Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 60%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.