AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX U21 Feb 07, 2026

Toluca U21

Home
VS
15:00

Cruz Azul U21

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Toluca U21 Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Cruz Azul U21 Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 93%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.03 - 1.04
Key Insights
Position gap: 15 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Toluca U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Cruz Azul U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (14%) 0-1 (13%) 1-0 (13%) 0-0 (13%) 1-2 (7%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Toluca U21 Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Toluca U21 vs Puebla U21 1-1
Jan 17 Toluca U21 vs Tigres UA… 2-2
Jan 14 Toluca U21 vs Santos La… 1-0
Jan 10 Toluca U21 vs Monterrey… 0-2
Nov 22 Toluca U21 vs Cruz Azul… 0-0
Nov 19 Toluca U21 vs Cruz Azul… 1-4
Nov 08 Toluca U21 vs Club Amér… 2-0
Nov 01 Toluca U21 vs Atlas U21 2-1
Oct 26 Toluca U21 vs Pachuca U… 1-1
Oct 22 Toluca U21 vs Club Tiju… 2-0
Cruz Azul U21 Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Cruz Azul… vs Juarez U21 0-0
Jan 17 Cruz Azul… vs Puebla U21 1-2
Jan 13 Cruz Azul… vs Atlas U21 0-3
Jan 10 Cruz Azul… vs Club León… 2-1
Nov 29 Cruz Azul… vs Santos La… 1-1
Nov 26 Cruz Azul… vs Santos La… 1-1
Nov 22 Cruz Azul… vs Toluca U21 0-0
Nov 19 Cruz Azul… vs Toluca U21 1-4
Nov 08 Cruz Azul… vs UNAM Puma… 1-1
Oct 31 Cruz Azul… vs Puebla U21 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cruz Azul U21 struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 22, 2025 Cruz Azul U21 0 - 0 Toluca U21 Liga MX U21
Nov 19, 2025 Toluca U21 1 - 4 Cruz Azul U21 Liga MX U21
Final Verdict

MASTER: Toluca U21 to win (83% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 15
Toluca U21 Power 0
Cruz Azul U21 Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Toluca U21 Position

+15

Position Gap

18

Cruz Azul U21 Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 42%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.