AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Thai League 1 Feb 07, 2026

Muangthong United

Home
VS
11:30

Nakhon Ratchasima

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Muangthong United Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Nakhon Ratchasima Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 53%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 1.41 - 0.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.2
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Muangthong United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Nakhon Ratchasima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 0-0 (19%) 2-0 (19%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Under 2.5 Goals 78%
Muangthong United Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Muangthon… vs Ratchaburi 3-2
Jan 25 Muangthon… vs Rayong FC 1-3
Jan 21 Muangthon… vs Bangkok G… 0-2
Jan 17 Muangthon… vs Ratchaburi 3-0
Jan 11 Muangthon… vs Ayutthaya… 0-1
Dec 20 Muangthon… vs Lamphun W… 0-1
Dec 14 Muangthon… vs Bangkok G… 3-0
Dec 06 Muangthon… vs Chonburi … 2-3
Nov 29 Muangthon… vs Chiangrai… 0-2
Nov 22 Muangthon… vs Buriram U… 0-5
Nakhon Ratchasima Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Nakhon Ra… vs Lamphun W… 0-1
Jan 28 Nakhon Ra… vs Mahasarak… 2-0
Jan 25 Nakhon Ra… vs Ratchaburi 3-0
Jan 18 Nakhon Ra… vs Ratchaburi 1-0
Jan 14 Nakhon Ra… vs Khon Kaen… 2-0
Dec 21 Nakhon Ra… vs Pattani 2-0
Dec 13 Nakhon Ra… vs Sukhothai… 2-1
Dec 07 Nakhon Ra… vs Bangkok G… 0-1
Nov 29 Nakhon Ra… vs Uthai Tha… 7-0
Nov 23 Nakhon Ra… vs Ayutthaya… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Muangthong United struggling (5L in last 5) Home
  • Nakhon Ratchasima struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 28, 2025 Nakhon Ratchasima 1 - 1 Muangthong United Thai League 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Muangthong United Power 0
Nakhon Ratchasima Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Muangthong United Position

+1

Position Gap

15

Nakhon Ratchasima Position
Home Win Rate: 16%
Away Win Rate: 12%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.