AI Match Insights

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Ligue A Feb 08, 2026

Aigle Noir

Home
VS
13:00

Ngozi City

Away
AI Predictions 69.0% Confidence
Aigle Noir Win
69.0%
Draw
20.2%
Ngozi City Win
10.8%
Home Win (69% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 67% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 4.50 - 0.83
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.8 Position gap: 10 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Aigle Noir Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Ngozi City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 56%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Aigle Noir Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Aigle Noir vs Green Far… 1-2
Jan 25 Aigle Noir vs Inter Star 2-1
Jan 18 Aigle Noir vs Kayanza U… 0-1
Jan 11 Aigle Noir vs Vital'O 2-1
Dec 21 Aigle Noir vs Bumamuru 1-1
Dec 12 Aigle Noir vs Musongati 1-1
Dec 07 Aigle Noir vs Vital'O 0-1
Nov 29 Aigle Noir vs Kayanza U… 8-2
Nov 21 Aigle Noir vs Inter Star 1-2
Nov 12 Aigle Noir vs Green Far… 3-1
Ngozi City Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Ngozi City vs Inter Star 2-2
Jan 25 Ngozi City vs Vital'O 0-1
Jan 18 Ngozi City vs Royal Vis… 2-1
Jan 11 Ngozi City vs Le Messag… 1-2
Dec 21 Ngozi City vs Flambeau … 1-2
Dec 07 Ngozi City vs Le Messag… 1-1
Nov 30 Ngozi City vs Royal Vis… 1-0
Nov 23 Ngozi City vs Vital'O 3-0
Nov 12 Ngozi City vs Inter Star 1-2
Nov 08 Ngozi City vs Aigle Noir 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Aigle Noir in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Ngozi City struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 08, 2025 Ngozi City 1 - 2 Aigle Noir Ligue A
Mar 08, 2025 Ngozi City 0 - 1 Aigle Noir Ligue A
Oct 30, 2024 Aigle Noir 3 - 1 Ngozi City Ligue A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Aigle Noir to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aigle Noir Power 0
Ngozi City Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Aigle Noir Position

+10

Position Gap

11

Ngozi City Position
Home Win Rate: 89%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.