AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Feb 08, 2026

Melbourne City Women

Home
VS
06:00

Brisbane Roar Women

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Melbourne City Women Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Brisbane Roar Women Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 56%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 1.79 - 1.26
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 1.3
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Melbourne City Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Brisbane Roar Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 1-2 (7%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Melbourne City Women Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Melbourne… vs Western S… 0-1
Jan 31 Melbourne… vs Adelaide … 2-1
Jan 24 Melbourne… vs Perth Glo… 0-2
Jan 20 Melbourne… vs Brisbane … 1-1
Jan 16 Melbourne… vs Newcastle… 1-3
Jan 10 Melbourne… vs Wellingto… 1-2
Jan 04 Melbourne… vs Sydney FC… 1-0
Dec 28 Melbourne… vs Perth Glo… 3-1
Dec 23 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 2-1
Dec 13 Melbourne… vs Canberra … 2-1
Brisbane Roar Women Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Brisbane … vs Sydney FC… 1-3
Jan 30 Brisbane … vs Central C… 2-2
Jan 23 Brisbane … vs Canberra … 3-1
Jan 20 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 1-1
Jan 16 Brisbane … vs Western S… 1-1
Jan 11 Brisbane … vs Melbourne… 0-1
Jan 03 Brisbane … vs Wellingto… 2-2
Dec 31 Brisbane … vs Central C… 3-2
Dec 13 Brisbane … vs Newcastle… 3-0
Dec 07 Brisbane … vs Adelaide … 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Melbourne City Women struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 20, 2026 Brisbane Roar Women 1 - 1 Melbourne City Women W-League
Mar 26, 2025 Brisbane Roar Women 0 - 4 Melbourne City Women W-League
Jan 11, 2025 Melbourne City Women 2 - 0 Brisbane Roar Women W-League
Mar 02, 2024 Brisbane Roar Women 2 - 0 Melbourne City Women W-League
Dec 28, 2023 Melbourne City Women 5 - 3 Brisbane Roar Women W-League
Dec 03, 2022 Melbourne City Women 3 - 0 Brisbane Roar Women W-League
Feb 24, 2022 Melbourne City Women 0 - 1 Brisbane Roar Women W-League
Jan 29, 2022 Brisbane Roar Women 1 - 2 Melbourne City Women W-League
Jan 31, 2021 Melbourne City Women 2 - 3 Brisbane Roar Women W-League
Dec 29, 2020 Brisbane Roar Women 0 - 0 Melbourne City Women W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Melbourne City Women to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Melbourne City Women Power 0
Brisbane Roar Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Melbourne City Women Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Brisbane Roar Women Position
Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 57%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.