AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Feb 07, 2026

Melbourne Victory Women

Home
VS
08:30

Newcastle Jets Women

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Melbourne Victory Women Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Newcastle Jets Women Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 72%
Standings 53%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.54 - 0.75
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.8
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Melbourne Victory Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Newcastle Jets Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Melbourne Victory Women Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Melbourne… vs Canberra … 3-1
Jan 25 Melbourne… vs Sydney FC… 0-0
Jan 17 Melbourne… vs Adelaide … 2-1
Jan 11 Melbourne… vs Brisbane … 0-1
Dec 27 Melbourne… vs Central C… 3-3
Dec 23 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 2-1
Dec 19 Melbourne… vs Newcastle… 1-3
Dec 13 Melbourne… vs Adelaide … 1-0
Dec 05 Melbourne… vs Canberra … 1-3
Nov 30 Melbourne… vs Perth Glo… 3-0
Newcastle Jets Women Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Newcastle… vs Wellingto… 1-5
Jan 21 Newcastle… vs Adelaide … 1-2
Jan 16 Newcastle… vs Melbourne… 1-3
Jan 13 Newcastle… vs Sydney FC… 1-2
Jan 10 Newcastle… vs Central C… 1-2
Jan 03 Newcastle… vs Perth Glo… 1-0
Dec 27 Newcastle… vs Canberra … 0-1
Dec 19 Newcastle… vs Melbourne… 1-3
Dec 13 Newcastle… vs Brisbane … 3-0
Dec 07 Newcastle… vs Central C… 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Melbourne Victory Women struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Newcastle Jets Women struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 19, 2025 Newcastle Jets Women 1 - 3 Melbourne Victory W… W-League
Mar 21, 2025 Melbourne Victory W… 4 - 3 Newcastle Jets Women W-League
Jan 11, 2025 Newcastle Jets Women 0 - 2 Melbourne Victory W… W-League
Mar 23, 2024 Newcastle Jets Women 3 - 2 Melbourne Victory W… W-League
Nov 12, 2023 Melbourne Victory W… 4 - 0 Newcastle Jets Women W-League
Dec 18, 2022 Melbourne Victory W… 5 - 2 Newcastle Jets Women W-League
Feb 08, 2022 Newcastle Jets Women 0 - 1 Melbourne Victory W… W-League
Feb 20, 2021 Newcastle Jets Women 0 - 2 Melbourne Victory W… W-League
Feb 07, 2021 Melbourne Victory W… 4 - 2 Newcastle Jets Women W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Melbourne Victory Women Power 0
Newcastle Jets Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Melbourne Victory Women Position

+2

Position Gap

9

Newcastle Jets Women Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.