AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pernambucano - 1 Mar 16, 2025

Maguary PE

Home
VS
19:00

Retrô FC Brasil

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Maguary PE Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Retrô FC Brasil Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.46 - 0.27
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.3
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Maguary PE Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Retrô FC Brasil Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 2-0 (19%) 0-0 (18%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Under 2.5 Goals 75%
Maguary PE Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 09 Maguary PE vs Retrô FC … 2-1
Feb 22 Maguary PE vs Santa Cru… 0-0
Feb 12 Maguary PE vs Jaguaré 2-1
Feb 08 Maguary PE vs Sport Rec… 5-0
Feb 02 Maguary PE vs Decisão 5-0
Jan 30 Maguary PE vs Nautico R… 2-0
Jan 12 Maguary PE vs Retrô FC … 1-3
Mar 28 Maguary PE vs Pague Men… 4-1
Feb 08 Maguary PE vs Retrô FC … 0-0
Jan 25 Maguary PE vs Sport Rec… 0-1
Retrô FC Brasil Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 13 Retrô FC … vs Athletico… 1-1
Mar 09 Retrô FC … vs Maguary PE 2-1
Mar 03 Retrô FC … vs Nautico R… 0-0
Feb 26 Retrô FC … vs Jequié 1-2
Feb 16 Retrô FC … vs Decisão 1-1
Feb 02 Retrô FC … vs Nautico R… 1-0
Jan 28 Retrô FC … vs Santa Cru… 1-0
Jan 25 Retrô FC … vs Jaguaré 1-1
Jan 18 Retrô FC … vs Sport Rec… 1-1
Jan 12 Retrô FC … vs Maguary PE 1-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 09, 2025 Retrô FC Brasil 2 - 1 Maguary PE Pernambucano -…
Jan 12, 2025 Retrô FC Brasil 1 - 3 Maguary PE Pernambucano -…
Feb 08, 2024 Retrô FC Brasil 0 - 0 Maguary PE Pernambucano -…
Mar 26, 2023 Maguary PE 1 - 3 Retrô FC Brasil Pernambucano -…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Maguary PE Power 0
Retrô FC Brasil Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Maguary PE Position

-3

Position Gap

3

Retrô FC Brasil Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.