AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pernambucano - 1 Mar 09, 2025

Retrô FC Brasil

Home
VS
20:00

Maguary PE

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Retrô FC Brasil Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Maguary PE Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 49%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 2.08 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.4
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Retrô FC Brasil Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Maguary PE Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (17%) 3-0 (12%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
Retrô FC Brasil Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 03 Retrô FC … vs Nautico R… 0-0
Feb 26 Retrô FC … vs Jequié 1-2
Feb 16 Retrô FC … vs Decisão 1-1
Feb 02 Retrô FC … vs Nautico R… 1-0
Jan 28 Retrô FC … vs Santa Cru… 1-0
Jan 25 Retrô FC … vs Jaguaré 1-1
Jan 18 Retrô FC … vs Sport Rec… 1-1
Jan 12 Retrô FC … vs Maguary PE 1-3
Mar 17 Retrô FC … vs Nautico R… 1-0
Mar 10 Retrô FC … vs Nautico R… 1-0
Maguary PE Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 22 Maguary PE vs Santa Cru… 0-0
Feb 12 Maguary PE vs Jaguaré 2-1
Feb 08 Maguary PE vs Sport Rec… 5-0
Feb 02 Maguary PE vs Decisão 5-0
Jan 30 Maguary PE vs Nautico R… 2-0
Jan 12 Maguary PE vs Retrô FC … 1-3
Mar 28 Maguary PE vs Pague Men… 4-1
Feb 08 Maguary PE vs Retrô FC … 0-0
Jan 25 Maguary PE vs Sport Rec… 0-1
Jan 21 Maguary PE vs Nautico R… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 12, 2025 Retrô FC Brasil 1 - 3 Maguary PE Pernambucano -…
Feb 08, 2024 Retrô FC Brasil 0 - 0 Maguary PE Pernambucano -…
Mar 26, 2023 Maguary PE 1 - 3 Retrô FC Brasil Pernambucano -…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Retrô FC Brasil to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Retrô FC Brasil Power 0
Maguary PE Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Retrô FC Brasil Position

+3

Position Gap

6

Maguary PE Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.