AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Premier Serie A Feb 07, 2026

Tritons Vallarta

Home
VS
22:00

Ensenada

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Tritons Vallarta Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Ensenada Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 68%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 3.99 - 0.58
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.0 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Tritons Vallarta Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Ensenada Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
56%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-0 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Tritons Vallarta Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Tritons V… vs Acatlan 3-2
Jan 24 Tritons V… vs Durango 2-0
Jan 18 Tritons V… vs Reboceros… 0-2
Jan 10 Tritons V… vs Colima 1-0
Nov 22 Tritons V… vs Leones Ne… 1-0
Nov 16 Tritons V… vs Los Cabos… 4-1
Nov 08 Tritons V… vs Tigres de… 1-2
Oct 25 Tritons V… vs UA Zacate… 2-0
Oct 18 Tritons V… vs Tecos 2-0
Oct 11 Tritons V… vs Guerreros 2-2
Ensenada Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Ensenada vs Tecos 2-5
Jan 25 Ensenada vs Guerreros 3-0
Jan 18 Ensenada vs Mineros d… 0-3
Jan 10 Ensenada vs Cimarrones 7-2
Nov 22 Ensenada vs UA Zacate… 0-0
Nov 14 Ensenada vs Acatlan 0-3
Nov 02 Ensenada vs Durango 0-3
Oct 26 Ensenada vs Reboceros… 3-1
Oct 19 Ensenada vs Colima 1-0
Oct 11 Ensenada vs Leones Ne… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tritons Vallarta in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Ensenada struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 21, 2025 Ensenada 3 - 0 Tritons Vallarta Liga Premier S…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tritons Vallarta Power 0
Ensenada Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Tritons Vallarta Position

+4

Position Gap

10

Ensenada Position
Home Win Rate: 78%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.