AI Match Insights

Liga Premier Serie A Feb 06, 2026

Tecos

Home
VS
22:00

Cimarrones

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Tecos Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Cimarrones Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 60%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.02 - 0.85
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.8
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tecos Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Cimarrones Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Tecos Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Tecos vs Ensenada 2-5
Jan 23 Tecos vs Acatlan 4-3
Jan 17 Tecos vs Durango 3-1
Jan 09 Tecos vs Reboceros… 4-1
Nov 22 Tecos vs Colima 3-1
Nov 15 Tecos vs Leones Ne… 2-1
Nov 07 Tecos vs Los Cabos… 3-1
Oct 25 Tecos vs Tigres de… 1-0
Oct 18 Tecos vs Tritons V… 2-0
Oct 11 Tecos vs UA Zacate… 1-0
Cimarrones Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Cimarrones vs Guerreros 1-1
Jan 24 Cimarrones vs Mineros d… 2-2
Jan 20 Cimarrones vs UA Zacate… 0-4
Jan 10 Cimarrones vs Ensenada 7-2
Nov 22 Cimarrones vs Acatlan 4-1
Nov 15 Cimarrones vs Durango 1-1
Nov 08 Cimarrones vs Reboceros… 0-0
Oct 25 Cimarrones vs Colima 0-0
Oct 18 Cimarrones vs Leones Ne… 1-0
Oct 12 Cimarrones vs Los Cabos… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tecos in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Cimarrones in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 20, 2025 Cimarrones 1 - 2 Tecos Liga Premier S…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tecos to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tecos Power 0
Cimarrones Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Tecos Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Cimarrones Position

Home Win Rate: 78%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.