AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Mineiro - 1 Feb 06, 2026

Betim

Home
VS
23:00

Itabirito

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Betim Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Itabirito Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.43 - 0.57
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.6
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Betim Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Itabirito Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (14%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
Betim Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Betim vs Cruzeiro 0-1
Jan 25 Betim vs Athletic … 1-1
Jan 21 Betim vs Uniao Tra… 0-2
Jan 17 Betim vs North Esp… 1-2
Jan 14 Betim vs Uberlândia 1-1
Jan 11 Betim vs Atletico-… 1-1
Jul 05 Betim vs Uniao Tra… 1-0
May 28 Betim vs North Esp… 2-3
May 13 Betim vs North Esp… 2-0
Feb 22 Betim vs Uberlândia 1-1
Itabirito Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Itabirito vs Tombense 2-3
Jan 24 Itabirito vs Uniao Tra… 2-1
Jan 21 Itabirito vs Uberlândia 0-1
Jan 18 Itabirito vs América M… 1-1
Jan 15 Itabirito vs Pouso Ale… 3-1
Jan 10 Itabirito vs Democrata… 0-1
Feb 12 Itabirito vs Atletico-… 3-0
Feb 08 Itabirito vs Pouso Ale… 1-0
Jan 30 Itabirito vs Cruzeiro 1-4
Jan 26 Itabirito vs Uberlândia 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Itabirito struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 18, 2025 Itabirito 0 - 1 Betim Mineiro - 1
Aug 05, 2023 Itabirito 1 - 1 Betim Mineiro - 2
Jul 01, 2023 Betim 0 - 1 Itabirito Mineiro - 2
May 27, 2023 Betim 0 - 2 Itabirito Mineiro - 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Betim Power 0
Itabirito Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Betim Position

0

Position Gap

4

Itabirito Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.