AI Match Insights

Match Details Home

Paulista - A1 Feb 08, 2026

Noroeste

Home

19:00

Santos

Away

AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence

Noroeste Win

53.0%

Draw

23.4%

Santos Win

23.6%

Home Win (53% confidence)

Predicted Score: 2-0

Decision Justification

Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)

M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)

Player Score 40%

Momentum 87%

Standings 61%

Market 50%

Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 30%

xG: 2.04 - 0.51

Key Insights

xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.5

High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized

Score Prediction Analysis

Noroeste Goal Probabilities

0 goals:

13%

1 goals:

27%

2 goals:

27%

3 goals:

18%

4 goals:

Santos Goal Probabilities

0 goals:

60%

1 goals:

31%

2 goals:

3 goals:

4 goals:

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0 (16%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 0-0 (8%)

BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Under 2.5 Goals 55%

Noroeste Form 12.0%

Date	Match	Result
Feb 01	Noroeste vs Velo Clube	2-0
Jan 24	Noroeste vs Ponte Pre…	2-2
Jan 21	Noroeste vs Capivaria…	1-1
Jan 18	Noroeste vs São Berna…	1-1
Jan 15	Noroeste vs Botafogo …	1-1
Jan 11	Noroeste vs RB Bragan…	0-1

Santos Form 6.0%

Date	Match	Result
Feb 04	Santos vs São Paulo…	1-1
Jan 31	Santos vs São Paulo…	2-0
Jan 28	Santos vs Chapecoen…	4-2
Jan 25	Santos vs RB Bragan…	0-0
Jan 22	Santos vs Corinthia…	1-1
Jan 18	Santos vs Guaraní C…	1-1
Jan 14	Santos vs Palmeiras	1-0
Jan 10	Santos vs Novorizon…	2-1
Dec 03	Santos vs Juventude	0-3
Nov 29	Santos vs Sport Rec…	3-0

Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier

Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence

Rules Passed

HOME_ADVANTAGE

Key Factors

No key factors identified

Noroeste Power 0

Santos Power 0

Home Form N/A

Away Form N/A

League Standings Context

13

Noroeste Position

+1

Position Gap

14

Santos Position

Home Win Rate: 33%

Away Win Rate: 0%

Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.