AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A1 Feb 07, 2026

Novorizontino

Home
VS
21:30

São Bernardo

Away
AI Predictions 69.0% Confidence
Novorizontino Win
69.0%
Draw
20.2%
São Bernardo Win
10.8%
Home Win (69% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 14%
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2 Position gap: 7 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Novorizontino Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
São Bernardo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Novorizontino Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Novorizon… vs Mirassol 1-1
Jan 25 Novorizon… vs Botafogo … 2-0
Jan 20 Novorizon… vs Palmeiras 4-0
Jan 17 Novorizon… vs Primavera… 3-4
Jan 13 Novorizon… vs Guaraní C… 2-0
Jan 10 Novorizon… vs Santos 2-1
Nov 22 Novorizon… vs CRB 3-0
Nov 16 Novorizon… vs Goiás 1-0
Nov 08 Novorizon… vs Remo 1-1
Nov 03 Novorizon… vs América M… 2-2
São Bernardo Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 São Berna… vs Ferroviár… 2-0
Feb 01 São Berna… vs RB Bragan… 1-1
Jan 28 São Berna… vs São José … 0-1
Jan 25 São Berna… vs Ituano 2-1
Jan 24 São Berna… vs Mirassol 0-4
Jan 22 São Berna… vs Ponte Pre… 0-1
Jan 21 São Berna… vs Monte Azul 0-1
Jan 18 São Berna… vs Noroeste 1-1
Jan 17 São Berna… vs Água Santa 3-0
Jan 16 São Berna… vs São Paulo… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Novorizontino in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • São Bernardo struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Novorizontino to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Novorizontino Power 0
São Bernardo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Novorizontino Position

+7

Position Gap

8

São Bernardo Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.