AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Goiano - 1 Feb 07, 2026

Aparecidense

Home
VS
19:00

ABECAT Ouvidorense

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Aparecidense Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
ABECAT Ouvidorense Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 3.25 - 0.73
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.7
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aparecidense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
ABECAT Ouvidorense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Aparecidense Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Aparecide… vs Anapolina 3-1
Jan 28 Aparecide… vs CRAC 1-0
Jan 25 Aparecide… vs Goiatuba 4-1
Jan 22 Aparecide… vs Vila Nova 3-0
Jan 18 Aparecide… vs Inhumas 1-1
Jan 15 Aparecide… vs Atlético … 1-2
Jan 11 Aparecide… vs Centro Oe… 0-0
Nov 06 Aparecide… vs Santos 3-0
Nov 03 Aparecide… vs Santos 3-1
Oct 20 Aparecide… vs Madureira… 6-0
ABECAT Ouvidorense Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 ABECAT Ou… vs Anápolis 2-2
Jan 29 ABECAT Ou… vs Goiás 1-0
Jan 24 ABECAT Ou… vs Jataiense 2-0
Jan 21 ABECAT Ou… vs Goiatuba 1-0
Jan 18 ABECAT Ou… vs CRAC 0-1
Jan 15 ABECAT Ou… vs Inhumas 0-1
Jan 10 ABECAT Ou… vs Vila Nova 1-2
Mar 05 ABECAT Ou… vs Anápolis 2-2
Mar 01 ABECAT Ou… vs Anápolis 1-1
Feb 23 ABECAT Ou… vs Goiás 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • ABECAT Ouvidorense in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Aparecidense struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 19, 2025 Aparecidense 1 - 0 ABECAT Ouvidorense Goiano - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aparecidense Power 0
ABECAT Ouvidorense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Aparecidense Position

-5

Position Gap

5

ABECAT Ouvidorense Position
Home Win Rate: 14%
Away Win Rate: 57%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.