AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Matogrossense Feb 08, 2026

Cuiabá

Home
VS
21:00

Operário MT

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Cuiabá Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Operário MT Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 1.94 - 0.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.3 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cuiabá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Operário MT Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 2-0 (20%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
Cuiabá Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Cuiabá vs Nova Mutu… 2-1
Jan 27 Cuiabá vs União Ron… 2-1
Jan 24 Cuiabá vs Chapada 2-2
Jan 22 Cuiabá vs Sport Sin… 0-1
Jan 18 Cuiabá vs Mixto 0-0
Jan 15 Cuiabá vs CEOV Oper… 1-0
Jan 10 Cuiabá vs Luverdense 1-0
Nov 16 Cuiabá vs América M… 1-1
Nov 08 Cuiabá vs Goiás 0-1
Nov 02 Cuiabá vs Amazonas 2-0
Operário MT Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Operário … vs Sport Sin… 1-2
Jan 28 Operário … vs Primavera… 2-1
Jan 25 Operário … vs Mixto 0-0
Jan 20 Operário … vs União Ron… 0-0
Jan 17 Operário … vs Chapada 3-1
Jan 14 Operário … vs Luverdense 0-2
Jan 10 Operário … vs CEOV Oper… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Operário MT struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cuiabá to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 94
Cuiabá Power 0
Operário MT Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Cuiabá Position

+5

Position Gap

10

Operário MT Position
Home Win Rate: 75%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.