AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sergipano Feb 07, 2026

Atlético Gloriense

Home
VS
19:00

Lagarto

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Atlético Gloriense Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Lagarto Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-2
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 44%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 36% Draw Risk: 51%
xG: 1.87 - 2.37
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atlético Gloriense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Lagarto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 1-3 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 2-3 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Under 2.5 Goals 25%
Atlético Gloriense Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Atlético … vs Falcon 2-1
Jan 31 Atlético … vs Guaraní SE 3-2
Jan 24 Atlético … vs Confiança 2-1
Jan 21 Atlético … vs América SE 2-0
Jan 18 Atlético … vs Desportiv… 1-1
Jan 11 Atlético … vs AO Itabai… 1-0
Lagarto Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Lagarto vs América SE 0-0
Jan 31 Lagarto vs AO Itabai… 0-0
Jan 25 Lagarto vs Dorense 1-5
Jan 21 Lagarto vs GuaranĂ­ SE 2-0
Jan 18 Lagarto vs Confiança 2-2
Jan 10 Lagarto vs Falcon 2-2
Mar 05 Lagarto vs Falcon 0-0
Mar 01 Lagarto vs Falcon 3-0
Feb 16 Lagarto vs Sergipe 0-4
Feb 08 Lagarto vs AO Itabai… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • AtlĂ©tico Gloriense struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atlético Gloriense Power 0
Lagarto Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Atlético Gloriense Position

-6

Position Gap

3

Lagarto Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.