AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sergipano Feb 08, 2026

GuaranĂ­ SE

Home
VS
18:15

Desportiva Aracaju

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
GuaranĂ­ SE Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Desportiva Aracaju Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.50 - 0.43
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.4 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
GuaranĂ­ SE Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Desportiva Aracaju Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
65%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 3-0 (14%) 1-0 (13%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
GuaranĂ­ SE Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Guaraní SE vs Atlético … 3-2
Jan 25 Guaraní SE vs América SE 0-0
Jan 21 GuaranĂ­ SE vs Lagarto 2-0
Jan 17 GuaranĂ­ SE vs Sergipe 1-1
Jan 11 GuaranĂ­ SE vs Dorense 3-1
Jan 13 Guaraní SE vs Confiança 5-1
Desportiva Aracaju Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Desportiv… vs Sergipe 0-2
Jan 31 Desportiv… vs América SE 0-0
Jan 25 Desportiv… vs AO Itabai… 2-1
Jan 22 Desportiv… vs Dorense 1-2
Jan 18 Desportiv… vs Atlético … 1-1
Jan 10 Desportiv… vs Confiança 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Desportiva Aracaju struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: GuaranĂ­ SE to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
GuaranĂ­ SE Power 0
Desportiva Aracaju Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

GuaranĂ­ SE Position

+6

Position Gap

10

Desportiva Aracaju Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.