AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A2 Feb 07, 2026

Ferroviária

Home
VS
21:00

XV de Piracicaba

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Ferroviária Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
XV de Piracicaba Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.44 - 0.39
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.4 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ferroviária Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
XV de Piracicaba Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 2-0 (17%) 0-0 (16%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Under 2.5 Goals 73%
Ferroviária Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Ferroviár… vs São Bento 2-0
Jan 28 Ferroviár… vs Santo And… 0-1
Jan 24 Ferroviár… vs Taubaté 1-2
Jan 21 Ferroviár… vs Inter De … 2-1
Jan 17 Ferroviár… vs Ituano 1-1
Jan 14 Ferroviár… vs Juventus 5-1
Jan 09 Ferroviár… vs Oeste 0-0
Nov 27 Ferroviár… vs Pague Men… 3-2
Nov 23 Ferroviár… vs Fortaleza 2-1
Nov 16 Ferroviár… vs Athletico… 1-2
XV de Piracicaba Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 XV de Pir… vs Monte Azul 2-0
Jan 28 XV de Pir… vs Grêmio Pr… 0-0
Jan 24 XV de Pir… vs Oeste 1-1
Jan 21 XV de Pir… vs Água Santa 0-0
Jan 18 XV de Pir… vs Santo And… 1-0
Jan 14 XV de Pir… vs Sertãozin… 3-4
Jan 11 XV de Pir… vs São Bento 0-1
Oct 11 XV de Pir… vs Primavera… 2-0
Sep 27 XV de Pir… vs Comercial 1-0
Sep 19 XV de Pir… vs Comercial 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ferroviária in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 19, 2025 XV de Piracicaba 1 - 2 Ferroviária Paulista - A2
Feb 01, 2024 Ferroviária 0 - 0 XV de Piracicaba Paulista - A2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ferroviária to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ferroviária Power 0
XV de Piracicaba Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Ferroviária Position

+7

Position Gap

8

XV de Piracicaba Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.