AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paulista - A2 Feb 07, 2026

Ituano

Home
VS
21:00

Santo André

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Ituano Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Santo André Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.07 - 0.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.9 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ituano Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Santo André Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Ituano Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Ituano vs Taubaté 0-1
Jan 28 Ituano vs Juventus 1-1
Jan 25 Ituano vs São Bento 2-1
Jan 21 Ituano vs Linense 1-3
Jan 17 Ituano vs Ferroviár… 1-1
Jan 14 Ituano vs Votuporan… 1-0
Jan 10 Ituano vs Grêmio Pr… 1-1
Oct 11 Ituano vs Lago Verde 3-1
Oct 08 Ituano vs Lago Verde 0-3
Sep 20 Ituano vs São Luiz 1-1
Santo André Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Santo And… vs Água Santa 2-1
Jan 28 Santo And… vs Ferroviár… 0-1
Jan 24 Santo And… vs Inter De … 0-1
Jan 21 Santo And… vs Votuporan… 1-0
Jan 18 Santo And… vs XV de Pir… 1-0
Jan 14 Santo And… vs Monte Azul 0-4
Jan 11 Santo And… vs Juventus 3-3
Aug 16 Santo And… vs Oeste 0-0
Aug 09 Santo And… vs São Caeta… 2-0
Aug 03 Santo And… vs São José … 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ituano in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Santo André in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 15, 2025 Santo André 2 - 2 Ituano Paulista - A2
Feb 19, 2023 Ituano 2 - 0 Santo André Paulista - A1
Mar 05, 2022 Santo André 0 - 0 Ituano Paulista - A1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ituano to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ituano Power 0
Santo André Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Ituano Position

+5

Position Gap

7

Santo André Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.