AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Alagoano Feb 07, 2026

ASA

Home
VS
19:00

Penedense

Away
AI Predictions 71.0% Confidence
ASA Win
71.0%
Draw
19.8%
Penedense Win
9.2%
Home Win (71% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 51%
xG: 0.94 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.9 vs 0.2 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
ASA Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
39%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Penedense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (32%) 1-0 (30%) 2-0 (14%) 0-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 11%
Over 2.5 Goals 11%
Under 2.5 Goals 89%
ASA Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 ASA vs Zumbi 2-1
Jan 31 ASA vs CRB 0-3
Jan 28 ASA vs Guaraní A… 0-1
Jan 25 ASA vs CSE 1-2
Jan 21 ASA vs Coruripe 2-0
Jan 17 ASA vs CSA 0-0
Jan 14 ASA vs Cruzeiro … 2-4
Jan 10 ASA vs Murici FC 0-0
Sep 06 ASA vs Maranhão … 0-3
Aug 30 ASA vs Maranhão … 1-0
Penedense Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Penedense vs Guaraní A… 0-1
Feb 01 Penedense vs Murici FC 0-0
Jan 29 Penedense vs CSE 1-0
Jan 25 Penedense vs Coruripe 1-1
Jan 21 Penedense vs CSE 0-2
Jan 18 Penedense vs CRB 0-1
Jan 14 Penedense vs CSA 2-0
Jan 10 Penedense vs Cruzeiro … 1-0
Mar 30 Penedense vs CSE 0-0
Mar 26 Penedense vs CSE 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • ASA in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
  • Penedense struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: ASA to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
ASA Power 0
Penedense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

ASA Position

+7

Position Gap

8

Penedense Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.