AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Alagoano Jan 21, 2026

Penedense

Home
VS
22:00

CSE

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Penedense Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
CSE Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.64 - 0.48
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.5
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Penedense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
CSE Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
62%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Penedense Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 18 Penedense vs CRB 0-1
Jan 14 Penedense vs CSA 2-0
Jan 10 Penedense vs Cruzeiro … 1-0
Mar 30 Penedense vs CSE 0-0
Mar 26 Penedense vs CSE 1-1
Mar 23 Penedense vs Coruripe 3-0
Mar 16 Penedense vs São Caeta… 1-1
Mar 16 Penedense vs Coruripe 1-1
Mar 12 Penedense vs Barretos 0-2
Mar 01 Penedense vs Inter de … 1-1
CSE Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 18 CSE vs Cruzeiro … 1-2
Jan 14 CSE vs Coruripe 1-1
Jan 10 CSE vs CRB 1-0
Mar 30 CSE vs Penedense 0-0
Mar 26 CSE vs Penedense 1-1
Mar 12 CSE vs Dimensão … 4-1
Mar 01 CSE vs Coruripe 0-1
Feb 13 CSE vs Murici FC 0-3
Feb 08 CSE vs ASA 4-0
Feb 05 CSE vs Penedense 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 30, 2025 CSE 0 - 0 Penedense Copa Alagoas
Mar 26, 2025 Penedense 1 - 1 CSE Copa Alagoas
Feb 05, 2025 CSE 1 - 0 Penedense Copa Alagoas
Jan 16, 2025 CSE 1 - 2 Penedense Alagoano
Jan 28, 2024 Penedense 1 - 1 CSE Alagoano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Penedense Power 0
CSE Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Penedense Position

-4

Position Gap

4

CSE Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.