AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Brasiliense Feb 07, 2026

Ceilândia

Home
VS
19:00

Capital Brasilia

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Ceilândia Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Capital Brasilia Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 45%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 15%
xG: 4.50 - 0.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Ceilândia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Capital Brasilia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
69%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Ceilândia Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Ceilândia vs Real FC 2-0
Jan 25 Ceilândia vs Brasília 1-2
Jan 21 Ceilândia vs ARUC 3-0
Jan 18 Ceilândia vs Samambaia… 2-1
Jan 10 Ceilândia vs Sobradinh… 1-1
Capital Brasilia Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Capital B… vs Sobradinh… 2-3
Jan 24 Capital B… vs Paranoá 0-3
Jan 21 Capital B… vs Real FC 0-1
Jan 17 Capital B… vs ARUC 0-3
Jan 11 Capital B… vs Samambaia… 2-2
Jul 27 Capital B… vs Rioverden… 6-1
Jul 26 Capital B… vs Aparecide… 2-1
Jul 20 Capital B… vs Barcelona… 3-0
May 23 Capital B… vs Botafogo 1-0
Apr 30 Capital B… vs Botafogo 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ceilândia in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ceilândia Power 0
Capital Brasilia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Ceilândia Position

+3

Position Gap

6

Capital Brasilia Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.