AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Brasiliense Feb 07, 2026

Real FC

Home
VS
13:00

Paranoá

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Real FC Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Paranoá Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 1.58 - 0.52
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.5
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Real FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
Paranoá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (15%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Real FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Real FC vs Uberlândia 2-0
Jan 24 Real FC vs Samambaia… 0-1
Jan 21 Real FC vs Capital B… 0-1
Jan 17 Real FC vs Brasilien… 0-0
Jan 10 Real FC vs Gama 1-0
Feb 22 Real FC vs Paranoá 2-1
Feb 17 Real FC vs Samambaia… 1-1
Feb 13 Real FC vs Gama 1-0
Feb 09 Real FC vs Sobradinh… 1-3
Jan 29 Real FC vs Capital B… 2-0
Paranoá Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Paranoá vs Gama 4-1
Jan 24 Paranoá vs Capital B… 0-3
Jan 21 Paranoá vs Brasília 1-0
Jan 17 Paranoá vs Sobradinh… 1-0
Jan 10 Paranoá vs ARUC 0-1
Nov 08 Paranoá vs Jataiense 5-1
Nov 05 Paranoá vs Friburgue… 2-0
Nov 01 Paranoá vs São Crist… 2-0
Oct 25 Paranoá vs Duque de … 2-1
Oct 18 Paranoá vs Campo Gra… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real FC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Paranoá struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 22, 2025 Paranoá 2 - 1 Real FC Brasiliense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Real FC Power 0
Paranoá Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Real FC Position

+3

Position Gap

10

Paranoá Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.