AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Feb 10, 2026

Sampdoria

Home
VS
18:00

Palermo

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Sampdoria Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Palermo Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.53 - 0.92
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.9
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sampdoria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Palermo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (9%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
Sampdoria Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Sampdoria vs Spezia 1-0
Jan 25 Sampdoria vs Catanzaro 0-0
Jan 16 Sampdoria vs Virtus En… 1-1
Jan 10 Sampdoria vs Avellino 2-1
Dec 27 Sampdoria vs Reggiana … 2-1
Dec 20 Sampdoria vs Padova 1-1
Dec 12 Sampdoria vs Palermo 1-0
Dec 07 Sampdoria vs Carrarese 3-2
Nov 30 Sampdoria vs Spezia 1-0
Nov 24 Sampdoria vs Juve Stab… 1-0
Palermo Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Palermo vs Bari 0-3
Jan 24 Palermo vs Modena 0-0
Jan 18 Palermo vs Spezia 1-0
Jan 11 Palermo vs Mantova 1-1
Dec 27 Palermo vs Padova 1-0
Dec 20 Palermo vs Avellino 2-2
Dec 12 Palermo vs Sampdoria 1-0
Dec 07 Palermo vs Empoli 1-3
Nov 29 Palermo vs Carrarese 5-0
Nov 22 Palermo vs Virtus En… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Palermo in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 12, 2025 Palermo 1 - 0 Sampdoria Serie B
Mar 08, 2025 Sampdoria 1 - 1 Palermo Serie B
Nov 24, 2024 Palermo 1 - 1 Sampdoria Serie B
Nov 24, 2024 Palermo 1 - 1 Sampdoria Pro League
May 17, 2024 Palermo 2 - 0 Sampdoria Serie B
Apr 06, 2024 Palermo 2 - 2 Sampdoria Pro League
Apr 06, 2024 Palermo 2 - 2 Sampdoria Serie B
Nov 04, 2023 Sampdoria 1 - 0 Palermo Serie B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sampdoria Power 32
Palermo Power 44
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Sampdoria Position

-10

Position Gap

4

Palermo Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 36%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.