AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Feb 08, 2026

Monza

Home
VS
14:00

Avellino

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Monza Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Avellino Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 1.90 - 0.28
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.3 Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Monza Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Avellino Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 2-0 (20%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Monza Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Monza vs Padova 1-2
Jan 24 Monza vs Pescara 3-0
Jan 17 Monza vs Frosinone 2-2
Jan 10 Monza vs Virtus En… 1-0
Dec 26 Monza vs Modena 1-2
Dec 20 Monza vs Carrarese 4-1
Dec 13 Monza vs Venezia 2-0
Dec 08 Monza vs Sudtirol 1-1
Nov 30 Monza vs Juve Stab… 2-2
Nov 23 Monza vs Cesena 1-0
Avellino Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Avellino vs Cesena 3-1
Jan 24 Avellino vs Spezia 1-0
Jan 17 Avellino vs Carrarese 1-2
Jan 10 Avellino vs Sampdoria 2-1
Dec 27 Avellino vs Bari 1-1
Dec 20 Avellino vs Palermo 2-2
Dec 13 Avellino vs Catanzaro 1-0
Dec 08 Avellino vs Venezia 1-1
Nov 29 Avellino vs Sudtirol 0-1
Nov 22 Avellino vs Empoli 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Monza in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 12, 2025 Avellino 2 - 1 Monza Serie B
Final Verdict

PRO: Monza to win (73% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 73% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Monza Power 43
Avellino Power 31
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Monza Position

+9

Position Gap

12

Avellino Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.