AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Feb 07, 2026

Palermo

Home
VS
16:15

Empoli

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Palermo Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Empoli Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.30 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.2 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Palermo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Empoli Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (19%) 3-0 (17%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%
Palermo Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Palermo vs Bari 0-3
Jan 24 Palermo vs Modena 0-0
Jan 18 Palermo vs Spezia 1-0
Jan 11 Palermo vs Mantova 1-1
Dec 27 Palermo vs Padova 1-0
Dec 20 Palermo vs Avellino 2-2
Dec 12 Palermo vs Sampdoria 1-0
Dec 07 Palermo vs Empoli 1-3
Nov 29 Palermo vs Carrarese 5-0
Nov 22 Palermo vs Virtus En… 1-1
Empoli Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Empoli vs Modena 0-0
Jan 23 Empoli vs Carrarese 3-0
Jan 17 Empoli vs Sudtirol 0-1
Jan 10 Empoli vs Cesena 0-1
Dec 27 Empoli vs Frosinone 1-1
Dec 21 Empoli vs Mantova 0-1
Dec 13 Empoli vs Juve Stab… 2-0
Dec 07 Empoli vs Palermo 1-3
Nov 29 Empoli vs Bari 5-0
Nov 22 Empoli vs Avellino 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Palermo in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 07, 2025 Empoli 1 - 3 Palermo Serie B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Palermo to win (53% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 53% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Palermo Power 44
Empoli Power 34
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Palermo Position

+7

Position Gap

11

Empoli Position
Home Win Rate: 64%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.