AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Feb 07, 2026

Carrarese

Home
VS
14:00

Sudtirol

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Carrarese Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Sudtirol Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 62%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.97 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.0 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Carrarese Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Sudtirol Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (31%) 1-0 (30%) 2-0 (15%) 0-1 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 11%
Over 2.5 Goals 11%
Under 2.5 Goals 89%
Carrarese Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Carrarese vs Venezia 2-1
Jan 23 Carrarese vs Empoli 3-0
Jan 17 Carrarese vs Avellino 1-2
Jan 10 Carrarese vs Bari 1-0
Dec 27 Carrarese vs Mantova 0-0
Dec 20 Carrarese vs Monza 4-1
Dec 14 Carrarese vs Virtus En… 3-1
Dec 07 Carrarese vs Sampdoria 3-2
Nov 29 Carrarese vs Palermo 5-0
Nov 22 Carrarese vs Reggiana … 0-0
Sudtirol Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Sudtirol vs Catanzaro 2-1
Jan 25 Sudtirol vs Padova 3-0
Jan 17 Sudtirol vs Empoli 0-1
Jan 10 Sudtirol vs Spezia 2-1
Dec 27 Sudtirol vs Juve Stab… 1-0
Dec 21 Sudtirol vs Virtus En… 1-1
Dec 13 Sudtirol vs Bari 0-0
Dec 08 Sudtirol vs Monza 1-1
Nov 29 Sudtirol vs Avellino 0-1
Nov 23 Sudtirol vs Modena 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Carrarese in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Sudtirol in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 08, 2025 Sudtirol 1 - 1 Carrarese Serie B
Mar 16, 2025 Sudtirol 2 - 2 Carrarese Serie B
Mar 16, 2025 Sudtirol 2 - 2 Carrarese Serie B
Aug 27, 2024 Carrarese 2 - 0 Sudtirol Pro League
Aug 27, 2024 Carrarese 2 - 0 Sudtirol Serie B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Carrarese Power 35
Sudtirol Power 35
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Carrarese Position

+1

Position Gap

10

Sudtirol Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.