AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Feb 07, 2026

Mantova

Home
VS
14:00

Bari

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Mantova Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Bari Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 57%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.07 - 0.83
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mantova Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Bari Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 0-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-1 (12%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
Mantova Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Mantova vs Pescara 2-2
Jan 24 Mantova vs Venezia 2-5
Jan 17 Mantova vs Padova 1-2
Jan 11 Mantova vs Palermo 1-1
Dec 27 Mantova vs Carrarese 0-0
Dec 21 Mantova vs Empoli 0-1
Dec 13 Mantova vs Cesena 3-2
Dec 08 Mantova vs Reggiana … 0-1
Nov 29 Mantova vs Venezia 3-0
Nov 23 Mantova vs Spezia 4-1
Bari Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Bari vs Palermo 0-3
Jan 24 Bari vs Cesena 1-2
Jan 17 Bari vs Juve Stab… 0-1
Jan 10 Bari vs Carrarese 1-0
Dec 27 Bari vs Avellino 1-1
Dec 19 Bari vs Catanzaro 1-2
Dec 13 Bari vs Sudtirol 0-0
Dec 09 Bari vs Sudan 3-1
Dec 08 Bari vs Pescara 1-1
Dec 06 Bari vs Algeria 1-5
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bari struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 26, 2025 Bari 1 - 0 Mantova Serie B
Feb 22, 2025 Mantova 0 - 1 Bari Serie B
Sep 14, 2024 Bari 2 - 0 Mantova Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Mantova to win (50% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 50% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mantova Power 28
Bari Power 27
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Mantova Position

+1

Position Gap

19

Bari Position
Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.