AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National League Feb 10, 2026

Carlisle

Home
VS
19:45

Scunthorpe

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Carlisle Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Scunthorpe Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 64%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 2.13 - 1.79
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Carlisle Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Scunthorpe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 1-2 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 3-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Under 2.5 Goals 28%
Carlisle Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Carlisle vs Altrincham 3-1
Jan 21 Carlisle vs York 0-3
Jan 17 Carlisle vs Solihull … 3-3
Jan 10 Carlisle vs Chippenha… 1-0
Jan 03 Carlisle vs Wealdstone 2-0
Dec 30 Carlisle vs Morecambe 1-0
Dec 26 Carlisle vs Gateshead 0-3
Dec 21 Carlisle vs Boreham W… 2-0
Dec 10 Carlisle vs Woking 1-3
Dec 07 Carlisle vs Blackpool 4-1
Scunthorpe Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Scunthorpe vs Forest Gr… 3-2
Jan 20 Scunthorpe vs Boreham W… 1-3
Jan 17 Scunthorpe vs Morecambe 2-2
Dec 30 Scunthorpe vs Gateshead 2-0
Dec 26 Scunthorpe vs Hartlepool 1-2
Dec 20 Scunthorpe vs Woking 1-2
Dec 06 Scunthorpe vs Tamworth 3-1
Dec 02 Scunthorpe vs Newcastle… 2-0
Nov 29 Scunthorpe vs Altrincham 4-2
Nov 22 Scunthorpe vs Braintree 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Scunthorpe in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 04, 2025 Scunthorpe 0 - 1 Carlisle National League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Carlisle to win (51% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 51% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Carlisle Power 42
Scunthorpe Power 44
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Carlisle Position

+2

Position Gap

5

Scunthorpe Position
Home Win Rate: 63%
Away Win Rate: 47%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.