AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National League Feb 10, 2026

Morecambe

Home
VS
19:45

Tamworth

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Morecambe Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Tamworth Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 2.22 - 0.65
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.7
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Morecambe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Tamworth Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 1-0 (13%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Morecambe Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Morecambe vs Altrincham 1-1
Jan 24 Morecambe vs Solihull … 0-2
Jan 21 Morecambe vs FC Halifa… 1-0
Jan 17 Morecambe vs Scunthorpe 2-2
Jan 13 Morecambe vs Kiddermin… 6-2
Dec 30 Morecambe vs Carlisle 1-0
Dec 26 Morecambe vs Rochdale 1-2
Dec 21 Morecambe vs Brackley … 0-2
Dec 13 Morecambe vs Gateshead 0-3
Dec 06 Morecambe vs Boston Un… 0-3
Tamworth Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 27 Tamworth vs FC Halifa… 0-0
Jan 24 Tamworth vs Sutton Un… 0-1
Jan 17 Tamworth vs Truro City 0-0
Jan 13 Tamworth vs Rochdale 1-1
Jan 03 Tamworth vs Gateshead 3-1
Dec 30 Tamworth vs FC Halifa… 0-2
Dec 26 Tamworth vs Solihull … 7-1
Dec 20 Tamworth vs Southend 2-1
Dec 16 Tamworth vs Mancheste… 3-0
Dec 13 Tamworth vs Bolton 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Morecambe struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 04, 2025 Tamworth 1 - 1 Morecambe National League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Morecambe Power 25
Tamworth Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

22

Morecambe Position

-9

Position Gap

13

Tamworth Position
Home Win Rate: 21%
Away Win Rate: 36%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.