AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National League Feb 07, 2026

Tamworth

Home
VS
15:00

Hartlepool

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Tamworth Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Hartlepool Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.32 - 0.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.2
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tamworth Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Hartlepool Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
78%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 0-0 (21%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Under 2.5 Goals 79%
Tamworth Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 27 Tamworth vs FC Halifa… 0-0
Jan 24 Tamworth vs Sutton Un… 0-1
Jan 17 Tamworth vs Truro City 0-0
Jan 13 Tamworth vs Rochdale 1-1
Jan 03 Tamworth vs Gateshead 3-1
Dec 30 Tamworth vs FC Halifa… 0-2
Dec 26 Tamworth vs Solihull … 7-1
Dec 20 Tamworth vs Southend 2-1
Dec 16 Tamworth vs Mancheste… 3-0
Dec 13 Tamworth vs Bolton 1-1
Hartlepool Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Hartlepool vs Aldershot… 0-3
Jan 24 Hartlepool vs Brackley … 0-0
Jan 20 Hartlepool vs Gateshead 2-1
Jan 17 Hartlepool vs Altrincham 1-0
Jan 10 Hartlepool vs Woking 4-0
Dec 30 Hartlepool vs Rochdale 1-2
Dec 26 Hartlepool vs Scunthorpe 1-2
Dec 21 Hartlepool vs Braintree 0-0
Dec 06 Hartlepool vs Yeovil To… 0-2
Nov 29 Hartlepool vs Truro City 3-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 27, 2025 Hartlepool 1 - 1 Tamworth National League
Feb 11, 2025 Hartlepool 2 - 2 Tamworth National League
Dec 10, 2024 Hartlepool 1 - 1 Tamworth FA Trophy
Aug 20, 2024 Tamworth 0 - 1 Hartlepool National League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tamworth Power 30
Hartlepool Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Tamworth Position

-4

Position Gap

9

Hartlepool Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 36%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.