AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National League Feb 07, 2026

Morecambe

Home
VS
15:00

Truro City

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Morecambe Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Truro City Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.78 - 0.52
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.5
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Morecambe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Truro City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (10%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Morecambe Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Morecambe vs Altrincham 1-1
Jan 24 Morecambe vs Solihull … 0-2
Jan 21 Morecambe vs FC Halifa… 1-0
Jan 17 Morecambe vs Scunthorpe 2-2
Jan 13 Morecambe vs Kiddermin… 6-2
Dec 30 Morecambe vs Carlisle 1-0
Dec 26 Morecambe vs Rochdale 1-2
Dec 21 Morecambe vs Brackley … 0-2
Dec 13 Morecambe vs Gateshead 0-3
Dec 06 Morecambe vs Boston Un… 0-3
Truro City Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 27 Truro City vs Braintree 0-0
Jan 24 Truro City vs Rochdale 2-0
Jan 20 Truro City vs Brackley … 3-3
Jan 17 Truro City vs Tamworth 0-0
Dec 30 Truro City vs Forest Gr… 1-1
Dec 26 Truro City vs Yeovil To… 1-0
Dec 20 Truro City vs York 4-0
Dec 16 Truro City vs Wealdstone 2-0
Dec 13 Truro City vs Southend 4-0
Nov 29 Truro City vs Hartlepool 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Morecambe struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 27, 2025 Truro City 5 - 0 Morecambe National League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Morecambe to win (50% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 50% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Morecambe Power 25
Truro City Power 26
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

22

Morecambe Position

+1

Position Gap

23

Truro City Position
Home Win Rate: 21%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.