AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League 1 Feb 07, 2026

Larisa

Home
VS
15:00

Panetolikos

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Larisa Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Panetolikos Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 53%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 54%
xG: 1.24 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.2
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Larisa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Panetolikos Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (29%) 0-0 (24%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Under 2.5 Goals 83%
Larisa Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Larisa vs Volos NFC 0-2
Jan 24 Larisa vs Panserrai… 1-0
Jan 18 Larisa vs Aris Thes… 1-0
Jan 10 Larisa vs Kifisia 1-1
Dec 21 Larisa vs Atromitos 0-0
Dec 13 Larisa vs Levadiakos 3-0
Dec 07 Larisa vs Panathina… 2-2
Dec 03 Larisa vs Atromitos 0-1
Nov 29 Larisa vs Aris Thes… 2-1
Nov 24 Larisa vs OFI Crete 1-2
Panetolikos Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Panetolik… vs Aris Thes… 0-1
Jan 25 Panetolik… vs OFI Crete 1-0
Jan 25 Panetolik… vs Kissamikos 3-0
Jan 19 Panetolik… vs Levadiakos 1-3
Jan 18 Panetolik… vs Ellas Syr… 0-0
Jan 11 Panetolik… vs Kalamata 2-0
Jan 10 Panetolik… vs PAOK 0-3
Jan 06 Panetolik… vs Aris Thes… 2-0
Dec 21 Panetolik… vs Egaleo 1-0
Dec 20 Panetolik… vs Volos NFC 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Larisa in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Panetolikos struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 08, 2025 Panetolikos 3 - 0 Larisa Super League 1
May 18, 2025 Larisa 1 - 3 Panetolikos Super League 1
May 18, 2025 Larisa 1 - 3 Panetolikos Pro League
Apr 12, 2025 Panetolikos 1 - 0 Larisa Super League 1
Apr 12, 2025 Panetolikos 1 - 0 Larisa Pro League
Feb 23, 2025 Larisa 2 - 1 Panetolikos Pro League
Dec 08, 2024 Larisa 0 - 1 Panetolikos Pro League
Nov 09, 2024 Panetolikos 2 - 1 Larisa Pro League
Aug 19, 2024 Panetolikos 0 - 1 Larisa Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Larisa Power 0
Panetolikos Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Larisa Position

+2

Position Gap

12

Panetolikos Position
Home Win Rate: 22%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.