AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge League Feb 08, 2026

Vittoriosa Stars

Home
VS
15:30

Marsa

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Vittoriosa Stars Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Marsa Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 47%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.80 - 0.75
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.8
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Vittoriosa Stars Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Marsa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 3-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Vittoriosa Stars Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Vittorios… vs St. Andre… 3-3
Jan 17 Vittorios… vs Birzebbuga 1-1
Jan 10 Vittorios… vs Balzan FC 4-1
Dec 20 Vittorios… vs Zebbug Ra… 0-4
Dec 13 Vittorios… vs Santa Luc… 0-2
Dec 09 Vittorios… vs Gudja Uni… 1-0
Dec 06 Vittorios… vs St. Andre… 3-0
Nov 30 Vittorios… vs Fgura Uni… 2-3
Nov 22 Vittorios… vs Marsa 1-2
Nov 02 Vittorios… vs Zurrieq 0-1
Marsa Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Marsa vs Zebbug Ra… 0-1
Jan 31 Marsa vs Swieqi Un… 8-0
Jan 18 Marsa vs Santa Luc… 2-2
Jan 18 Marsa vs Mgarr Uni… 1-3
Jan 11 Marsa vs Zurrieq 1-1
Jan 11 Marsa vs Melita 3-2
Jan 04 Marsa vs Naxxar Li… 0-3
Dec 21 Marsa vs St. Andre… 1-2
Dec 20 Marsa vs Gudja Uni… 0-3
Dec 14 Marsa vs Birzebbuga 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Marsa struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 22, 2025 Marsa 1 - 2 Vittoriosa Stars Challenge Leag…
Apr 15, 2023 Marsa 0 - 0 Vittoriosa Stars Challenge Leag…
Dec 03, 2022 Vittoriosa Stars 3 - 0 Marsa Challenge Leag…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Vittoriosa Stars Power 0
Marsa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Vittoriosa Stars Position

+1

Position Gap

14

Marsa Position
Home Win Rate: 17%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.