AI Match Insights

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Challenge League Feb 08, 2026

Melita

Home
VS
15:30

Balzan FC

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Melita Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Balzan FC Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 39%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 37% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 0.74 - 1.51
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Melita Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Balzan FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (16%) 0-2 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 0-0 (11%) 1-2 (9%) 1-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Melita Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Melita vs Santa Lucā€¦ 1-0
Jan 17 Melita vs Zebbug Raā€¦ 1-4
Jan 11 Melita vs Marsa 3-2
Dec 21 Melita vs Birzebbuga 0-2
Dec 13 Melita vs St. Andreā€¦ 1-0
Dec 10 Melita vs Mgarr Uniā€¦ 1-3
Nov 30 Melita vs PietĆ  Hotā€¦ 3-1
Nov 22 Melita vs Sirens 2-1
Nov 01 Melita vs Gudja Uniā€¦ 2-2
Oct 25 Melita vs Fgura Uniā€¦ 2-3
Balzan FC Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Balzan FC vs Birzebbuga 1-0
Jan 17 Balzan FC vs St. Andreā€¦ 0-2
Jan 10 Balzan FC vs Vittoriosā€¦ 4-1
Jan 04 Balzan FC vs Birzebbuga 1-1
Dec 20 Balzan FC vs Santa Lucā€¦ 1-1
Dec 14 Balzan FC vs Zebbug Raā€¦ 4-0
Dec 10 Balzan FC vs Fgura Uniā€¦ 1-2
Nov 30 Balzan FC vs Marsa 4-0
Nov 22 Balzan FC vs Zurrieq 0-1
Nov 02 Balzan FC vs Swieqi Unā€¦ 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Balzan FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Melita struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Melita to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Melita Power 0
Balzan FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Melita Position

-2

Position Gap

1

Balzan FC Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 83%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.