AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge League Feb 07, 2026

Mgarr United

Home
VS
15:30

Fgura United

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Mgarr United Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Fgura United Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 3.41 - 1.79
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 1.8
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mgarr United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Fgura United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 3-2 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 2-2 (5%) 3-0 (4%) 3-3 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Under 2.5 Goals 25%
Mgarr United Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Mgarr Uniā€¦ vs Zurrieq 1-1
Jan 28 Mgarr Uniā€¦ vs Mosta 0-0
Jan 18 Mgarr Uniā€¦ vs Mtarfa 1-3
Jan 10 Mgarr Uniā€¦ vs Swieqi Unā€¦ 5-1
Dec 21 Mgarr Uniā€¦ vs Sirens 2-3
Dec 13 Mgarr Uniā€¦ vs PietĆ  Hotā€¦ 1-1
Dec 10 Mgarr Uniā€¦ vs Melita 1-3
Nov 29 Mgarr Uniā€¦ vs Marsa 2-3
Nov 23 Mgarr Uniā€¦ vs Santa Lucā€¦ 3-3
Nov 01 Mgarr Uniā€¦ vs Zebbug Raā€¦ 0-1
Fgura United Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Fgura Uniā€¦ vs Sirens 1-5
Jan 27 Fgura Uniā€¦ vs Hamrun Spā€¦ 5-0
Jan 24 Fgura Uniā€¦ vs Gudja Uniā€¦ 2-1
Jan 18 Fgura Uniā€¦ vs PietĆ  Hotā€¦ 1-0
Jan 11 Fgura Uniā€¦ vs Gudja Uniā€¦ 1-1
Jan 04 Fgura Uniā€¦ vs Santa Lucā€¦ 2-1
Dec 20 Fgura Uniā€¦ vs Zurrieq 1-4
Dec 14 Fgura Uniā€¦ vs Mtarfa 8-0
Dec 10 Fgura Uniā€¦ vs Balzan FC 1-2
Nov 30 Fgura Uniā€¦ vs Vittoriosā€¦ 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Fgura United struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 21, 2024 Mgarr United 0 - 0 Fgura United Challenge Leagā€¦
Feb 20, 2022 Fgura United 2 - 0 Mgarr United Challenge Leagā€¦
Oct 31, 2021 Mgarr United 1 - 0 Fgura United Challenge Leagā€¦
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mgarr United Power 0
Fgura United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Mgarr United Position

-1

Position Gap

6

Fgura United Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 83%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.