AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge League Feb 07, 2026

Birzebbuga

Home
VS
13:00

Santa LucĂ­a

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Birzebbuga Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Santa LucĂ­a Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.88 - 0.31
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.3 Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Birzebbuga Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Santa LucĂ­a Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 2-0 (20%) 3-0 (12%) 0-0 (11%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Birzebbuga Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Birzebbuga vs Balzan FC 3-0
Jan 27 Birzebbuga vs Zurrieq 3-0
Jan 17 Birzebbuga vs Vittorios… 1-1
Jan 10 Birzebbuga vs St. Andre… 1-0
Jan 04 Birzebbuga vs Balzan FC 1-1
Dec 21 Birzebbuga vs Melita 0-2
Dec 14 Birzebbuga vs Marsa 1-0
Dec 11 Birzebbuga vs Sirens 1-2
Nov 29 Birzebbuga vs Gudja Uni… 2-1
Nov 23 Birzebbuga vs Fgura Uni… 0-3
Santa LucĂ­a Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Santa Luc… vs Melita 2-2
Jan 18 Santa Luc… vs Marsa 2-2
Jan 11 Santa Luc… vs Zebbug Ra… 0-0
Jan 04 Santa Luc… vs Fgura Uni… 2-1
Dec 20 Santa Luc… vs Balzan FC 1-1
Dec 13 Santa Luc… vs Vittorios… 0-2
Dec 09 Santa Luc… vs Zurrieq 4-0
Dec 06 Santa Luc… vs Sirens 1-2
Nov 29 Santa Luc… vs Swieqi Un… 1-3
Nov 23 Santa Luc… vs Mgarr Uni… 3-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Birzebbuga to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Birzebbuga Power 0
Santa LucĂ­a Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Birzebbuga Position

+9

Position Gap

11

Santa LucĂ­a Position
Home Win Rate: 83%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.