AI Match Insights

League One Feb 07, 2026

Bolton

Home
VS
15:01

Burnley

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Bolton Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Burnley Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 4.50 - 0.57
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Bolton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Burnley Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (6%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Bolton Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Bolton vs Blackpool 1-0
Jan 31 Bolton vs AFC Wimbl… 0-1
Jan 31 Bolton vs Boreham W… 1-2
Jan 27 Bolton vs Huddersfi… 1-0
Jan 27 Bolton vs Brighton 2-1
Jan 27 Bolton vs West Ham … 0-1
Jan 24 Bolton vs Plymouth 1-0
Jan 24 Bolton vs Southend 3-3
Jan 24 Bolton vs Leyton Or… 2-1
Jan 20 Bolton vs Stevenage 0-0
Burnley Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Burnley vs Northampt… 2-2
Feb 02 Burnley vs Sunderland 3-0
Jan 31 Burnley vs Stevenage 3-1
Jan 27 Burnley vs Crewe 2-2
Jan 27 Burnley vs Cardiff 4-0
Jan 24 Burnley vs Tottenham 2-2
Jan 24 Burnley vs Reading FC 2-2
Jan 17 Burnley vs Blackpool 2-1
Jan 17 Burnley vs Liverpool 1-1
Jan 12 Burnley vs Liverpool 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bolton in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 22, 2025 Burnley 5 - 0 Bolton League One
Aug 16, 2025 Burnley 1 - 1 Bolton League One
Apr 12, 2025 Burnley 4 - 1 Bolton League One
Mar 08, 2025 Burnley 4 - 0 Bolton Championship
Feb 01, 2025 Burnley 0 - 0 Bolton League One
Dec 26, 2024 Bolton 1 - 2 Burnley Pro League
Sep 21, 2024 Bolton 1 - 2 Burnley Pro League
Aug 12, 2024 Bolton 1 - 4 Burnley Pro League
May 07, 2024 Bolton 2 - 3 Burnley League One
May 03, 2024 Burnley 1 - 3 Bolton League One
Final Verdict

ELITE: Bolton to win (88% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 88% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 96
Bolton Power 39
Burnley Power 25
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.