AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Jan 31, 2026

Barnsley

Home
VS
15:00

Stevenage

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Barnsley Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Stevenage Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 38%
Market 44%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 54%
Asian Handicap: Home -0.25
xG: 4.33 - 0.95
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.3 vs 0.9 Asian Handicap: Home -0.25
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Barnsley Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
Stevenage Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
39%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 3-2 (3%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Barnsley Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Barnsley vs Reading FC 2-2
Jan 17 Barnsley vs Blackpool 2-1
Jan 01 Barnsley vs Wigan 1-1
Dec 29 Barnsley vs Lincoln 0-2
Dec 26 Barnsley vs Mansfield… 2-3
Dec 20 Barnsley vs Exeter Ci… 3-0
Dec 13 Barnsley vs Leyton Or… 3-2
Dec 09 Barnsley vs Lincoln 3-1
Nov 29 Barnsley vs Stockport… 1-1
Nov 22 Barnsley vs Luton 5-0
Stevenage Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 27 Stevenage vs Peterboro… 1-0
Jan 24 Stevenage vs Mansfield… 1-1
Jan 20 Stevenage vs Bolton 0-0
Jan 17 Stevenage vs Exeter Ci… 3-0
Jan 10 Stevenage vs Luton 2-1
Jan 01 Stevenage vs Plymouth 1-1
Dec 29 Stevenage vs Cardiff 2-1
Dec 26 Stevenage vs AFC Wimbl… 0-0
Dec 20 Stevenage vs Burton Al… 2-2
Dec 13 Stevenage vs Stockport… 1-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Stevenage to win (62% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-1 62% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Barnsley Power 0
Stevenage Power 36
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Barnsley Position

-6

Position Gap

8

Stevenage Position
Home Win Rate: 54%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.