AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Feb 07, 2026

Montrose

Home
VS
15:00

Kelty Hearts

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Montrose Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Kelty Hearts Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 62% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 4.50 - 0.67
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.7
Score Prediction Analysis
Montrose Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Kelty Hearts Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Montrose Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Montrose vs East Fife 1-2
Jan 20 Montrose vs Alloa Ath… 4-1
Jan 17 Montrose vs Partick 3-1
Jan 06 Montrose vs Airdrieon… 3-1
Dec 27 Montrose vs Inverness… 2-1
Dec 22 Montrose vs Spartans 2-1
Dec 20 Montrose vs Queen of … 1-0
Dec 13 Montrose vs Stenhouse… 3-0
Dec 06 Montrose vs Kelty Hea… 0-3
Nov 29 Montrose vs Benburb 0-3
Kelty Hearts Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Kelty Hea… vs Hamilton … 0-0
Jan 24 Kelty Hea… vs Stenhouse… 0-2
Jan 17 Kelty Hea… vs Cove Rang… 1-1
Jan 10 Kelty Hea… vs Queen of … 3-1
Jan 03 Kelty Hea… vs Alloa Ath… 1-1
Dec 27 Kelty Hea… vs East Fife 0-1
Dec 20 Kelty Hea… vs Rangers FC 2-5
Dec 13 Kelty Hea… vs Peterhead 3-2
Dec 09 Kelty Hea… vs Arbroath 3-2
Dec 06 Kelty Hea… vs Montrose 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Montrose struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 06, 2025 Kelty Hearts 0 - 3 Montrose League One
Aug 09, 2025 Montrose 1 - 2 Kelty Hearts League One
Mar 08, 2025 Kelty Hearts 0 - 0 Montrose League One
Jan 04, 2025 Montrose 0 - 0 Kelty Hearts League One
Oct 19, 2024 Kelty Hearts 0 - 2 Montrose League One
Aug 03, 2024 Montrose 1 - 1 Kelty Hearts League One
Apr 27, 2024 Kelty Hearts 0 - 2 Montrose League One
Feb 17, 2024 Montrose 4 - 2 Kelty Hearts League One
Dec 16, 2023 Kelty Hearts 0 - 1 Montrose League One
Aug 05, 2023 Montrose 0 - 2 Kelty Hearts League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Montrose Power 0
Kelty Hearts Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Montrose Position

+3

Position Gap

10

Kelty Hearts Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.