AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Feb 07, 2026

Peterhead

Home
VS
15:00

Alloa Athletic

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Peterhead Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Alloa Athletic Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 2.14 - 0.86
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.9
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Peterhead Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Alloa Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Peterhead Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Peterhead vs Stenhouse… 2-2
Jan 17 Peterhead vs Hamilton … 2-3
Dec 27 Peterhead vs Cove Rang… 0-4
Dec 20 Peterhead vs East Fife 0-1
Dec 13 Peterhead vs Kelty Hea… 3-2
Dec 09 Peterhead vs Ayr Utd 2-1
Dec 06 Peterhead vs Alloa Ath… 4-0
Nov 29 Peterhead vs Morton 2-2
Nov 22 Peterhead vs Stenhouse… 1-4
Nov 15 Peterhead vs Montrose 1-1
Alloa Athletic Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Alloa Ath… vs Cove Rang… 2-2
Jan 24 Alloa Ath… vs Inverness… 3-1
Jan 20 Alloa Ath… vs Montrose 4-1
Jan 03 Alloa Ath… vs Kelty Hea… 1-1
Dec 27 Alloa Ath… vs Stenhouse… 0-0
Dec 20 Alloa Ath… vs Hamilton … 1-0
Dec 13 Alloa Ath… vs Queen of … 0-2
Dec 09 Alloa Ath… vs Airdrieon… 2-3
Dec 06 Alloa Ath… vs Peterhead 4-0
Nov 29 Alloa Ath… vs Raith Rov… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 06, 2025 Alloa Athletic 4 - 0 Peterhead League One
Sep 27, 2025 Peterhead 2 - 1 Alloa Athletic League One
Mar 25, 2023 Peterhead 0 - 2 Alloa Athletic League One
Feb 04, 2023 Alloa Athletic 1 - 0 Peterhead League One
Oct 22, 2022 Peterhead 0 - 2 Alloa Athletic League One
Aug 27, 2022 Alloa Athletic 5 - 0 Peterhead League One
Mar 19, 2022 Alloa Athletic 1 - 0 Peterhead League One
Feb 05, 2022 Peterhead 0 - 1 Alloa Athletic League One
Oct 16, 2021 Alloa Athletic 2 - 4 Peterhead League One
Jul 31, 2021 Peterhead 2 - 0 Alloa Athletic League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Peterhead Power 0
Alloa Athletic Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Peterhead Position

-2

Position Gap

4

Alloa Athletic Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 36%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.