AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Mar 03, 2026

Hamilton Academical

Home
VS
20:00

Stenhousemuir

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Hamilton Academical Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Stenhousemuir Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 1.90 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.2
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hamilton Academical Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Stenhousemuir Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Hamilton Academical Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Hamilton … vs Kelty Hea… 0-0
Jan 24 Hamilton … vs Cove Rang… 2-0
Jan 17 Hamilton … vs Peterhead 2-3
Dec 27 Hamilton … vs Queen of … 4-1
Dec 20 Hamilton … vs Alloa Ath… 1-0
Dec 13 Hamilton … vs Inverness… 4-0
Dec 09 Hamilton … vs Raith Rov… 5-2
Dec 06 Hamilton … vs Stenhouse… 0-0
Nov 29 Hamilton … vs Airdrieon… 4-0
Nov 22 Hamilton … vs Kelty Hea… 3-1
Stenhousemuir Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Stenhouse… vs Peterhead 2-2
Jan 27 Stenhouse… vs Inverness… 1-0
Jan 24 Stenhouse… vs Kelty Hea… 0-2
Jan 17 Stenhouse… vs Morton 4-0
Jan 13 Stenhouse… vs Stirling … 1-2
Jan 10 Stenhouse… vs East Fife 5-0
Jan 03 Stenhouse… vs Queen of … 2-0
Dec 27 Stenhouse… vs Alloa Ath… 0-0
Dec 20 Stenhouse… vs Inverness… 1-0
Dec 13 Stenhouse… vs Montrose 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Hamilton Academical in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Stenhousemuir in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 06, 2025 Stenhousemuir 0 - 0 Hamilton Academical League One
Sep 27, 2025 Hamilton Academical 2 - 0 Stenhousemuir League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hamilton Academical Power 0
Stenhousemuir Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Hamilton Academical Position

-6

Position Gap

2

Stenhousemuir Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.