AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Tweede Divisie Feb 07, 2026

ACV

Home
VS
13:30

Hoek

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
ACV Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Hoek Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 2.20 - 1.33
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 1.3
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
ACV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Hoek Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 1-0 (6%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%
ACV Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 ACV vs AFC Amsteā€¦ 1-0
Jan 24 ACV vs Sparta Roā€¦ 1-2
Jan 17 ACV vs Kozakken ā€¦ 0-2
Dec 13 ACV vs Ijsselmeeā€¦ 2-2
Dec 06 ACV vs Koninklijā€¦ 1-1
Nov 29 ACV vs Quick Boys 1-0
Nov 22 ACV vs Katwijk 3-3
Nov 15 ACV vs HHC 0-0
Nov 08 ACV vs De Treffeā€¦ 4-1
Nov 01 ACV vs Hoek 2-1
Hoek Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Hoek vs Sparta Roā€¦ 1-0
Jan 24 Hoek vs Spakenburg 1-1
Jan 17 Hoek vs Koninklijā€¦ 2-1
Dec 16 Hoek vs Telstar 1-4
Dec 13 Hoek vs De Treffeā€¦ 2-1
Dec 06 Hoek vs Rijnsburgā€¦ 1-0
Nov 29 Hoek vs Dordrecht 1-1
Nov 22 Hoek vs Almere Ciā€¦ 1-2
Nov 15 Hoek vs AFC Amsteā€¦ 2-2
Nov 08 Hoek vs Kozakken ā€¦ 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Hoek struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 01, 2025 Hoek 2 - 1 ACV Tweede Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
ACV Power 0
Hoek Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

ACV Position

-16

Position Gap

2

Hoek Position
Home Win Rate: 11%
Away Win Rate: 56%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.