AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Diski Challenge Feb 07, 2026

Mamelodi Sundowns U23

Home
VS
08:00

Sekhukhune United U23

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Mamelodi Sundowns U23 Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Sekhukhune United U23 Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 4.04 - 1.06
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.0 vs 1.1 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mamelodi Sundowns U23 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
20%
Sekhukhune United U23 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%) 2-1 (5%) 2-0 (5%) 3-2 (4%) 2-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%
Mamelodi Sundowns U23 Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Mamelodi … vs Siwelele … 1-2
Jan 25 Mamelodi … vs Magesi U23 3-0
Jan 18 Mamelodi … vs Kaizer Ch… 2-0
Jan 11 Mamelodi … vs Sekhukhun… 1-1
Nov 29 Mamelodi … vs Orbit Col… 1-0
Nov 23 Mamelodi … vs Polokwane… 4-0
Nov 15 Mamelodi … vs Stellenbo… 1-3
Nov 08 Mamelodi … vs Magesi U23 1-1
Nov 01 Mamelodi … vs Orlando P… 1-5
Oct 25 Mamelodi … vs TS Galaxy… 2-3
Sekhukhune United U23 Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Sekhukhun… vs Orlando P… 2-1
Jan 24 Sekhukhun… vs TS Galaxy… 3-0
Jan 18 Sekhukhun… vs Orbit Col… 3-0
Jan 11 Sekhukhun… vs Mamelodi … 1-1
Nov 29 Sekhukhun… vs Stellenbo… 1-3
Nov 23 Sekhukhun… vs Marumo Ga… 3-3
Nov 16 Sekhukhun… vs Richards … 1-2
Nov 08 Sekhukhun… vs Maritzbur… 1-1
Nov 01 Sekhukhun… vs TS Galaxy… 2-1
Oct 26 Sekhukhun… vs Siwelele … 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mamelodi Sundowns U23 in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Sekhukhune United U23 struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 11, 2026 Sekhukhune United U… 1 - 1 Mamelodi Sundowns U… Diski Challenge
Apr 26, 2025 Mamelodi Sundowns U… 1 - 0 Sekhukhune United U… Diski Challenge
Oct 27, 2024 Sekhukhune United U… 1 - 1 Mamelodi Sundowns U… Diski Challenge
Apr 14, 2024 Sekhukhune United U… 1 - 0 Mamelodi Sundowns U… Diski Challenge
Nov 19, 2023 Mamelodi Sundowns U… 2 - 0 Sekhukhune United U… Diski Challenge
Mar 18, 2023 Mamelodi Sundowns U… 1 - 0 Sekhukhune United U… Diski Challenge
Oct 01, 2022 Sekhukhune United U… 2 - 2 Mamelodi Sundowns U… Diski Challenge
Apr 23, 2022 Sekhukhune United U… 0 - 0 Mamelodi Sundowns U… Diski Challenge
Oct 23, 2021 Mamelodi Sundowns U… 4 - 0 Sekhukhune United U… Diski Challenge
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Mamelodi Sundowns U23 to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mamelodi Sundowns U23 Power 0
Sekhukhune United U23 Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Mamelodi Sundowns U23 Position

+7

Position Gap

9

Sekhukhune United U23 Position
Home Win Rate: 63%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.